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Trump v Clinton: four lessons from the primary results for November's election

Unless something dramatic and unforeseeable happens, the candidates in the US general election this November will be Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Voting results in the last major primaries mean that Clinton, who needed 2,383 delegates to become the Democratic nominee, currently has 2,755, while Trump, who needed 1,237 delegates, has 1,536. Both candidates are over the finish line. Some – most notably Bernie Sanders and his supporters – claim these numbers aren’t quite so simple. Clinton gets over the line only if you include her superdelegates – representatives who still have the ability to switch their allegiance when voting at the party convention in July. If enough superdelegates decide to switch to Sanders, that would change this election. In reality, though, Clinton can probably count on the support of those superdelegates; the Associated Press has been repeatedly polling them since late 2015 and, so far, not a single one has...

Oregon Democratic primary election results: Bernie Sanders wins

Bernie Sanders crushed Hillary Clinton in Oregon on Tuesday night, winning a symbolic victory if doing little to improve his actual chances at the Democratic nomination. The state was called for Sanders around 11:15 pm by the Associated Press. Regardless of the results, Hillary Clinton has an essentially insurmountable delegate and popular vote lead in the contest overall. She's going to be the nominee, and — while the final numbers are still being counted — Sanders's victory in Oregon will not meaningfully change the state of the race. Still, Sanders's landslide win may offer some tea leaves about the future of Democratic politics once his candidacy exits the national stage. And it could help us understand what it will take for future Democrats to capitalize on the coalition he's built throughout the primary. Why is Bernie Sanders so popular in Oregon? Oregon's Democrats combine Sanders's three best demographics — young voters, progressives,...